Burnley vs Swansea: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
The Footlab AI model makes Swansea the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Burnley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swansea wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley vs Swansea?
Swansea starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,838).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burnley vs Swansea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 9J. Vardy
- 29J. Laurent
- 19L. Ramazani
- 5R. Hatate
- 10M. Edwards
- 17A. Hountondji
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 23Lucas Pires
- 18H. Ekdal
- 37G. Coudert
Swansea
4-3-3- 30Joseph Okopu
- 7M. Widell
- 33A. Idah
- 4J. Fulton
- 6M. Stamenić
- 17Gonçalo Franco
- 14J. Tymon
- 23S. Welsh
- 26F. Lissah
- 5B. Cabango
- 22L. Vigouroux
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Swansea have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | QPR(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Blackburn(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | QPR(away) | 0-5 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Burnley wins, 0 draws, 2 Swansea wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea 3-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Swansea 0-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Burnley 1-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Swansea 1-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Burnley 4-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Swansea 1-0 Burnley | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Swansea | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 22nd in Championship (10 points from 14 matches) and Swansea sit 5th (26 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 26 |
| 22 | Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 10 |
A question about Burnley vs Swansea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley vs Swansea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swansea the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Burnley.
- Where and when is Burnley vs Swansea played?
- Burnley vs Swansea is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Turf Moor, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.