Stoke City vs Watford: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Stoke City the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stoke City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City vs Watford?
Stoke City starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,738).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stoke City vs Watford
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stoke City
3-4-3- 7J. McGlynn
- 13J. Devenny
- 9R. Boženík
- 2B. Johnson
- 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
- 21L. Bombino
- 8E. Galbraith
- 16B. Wilmot
- 5L. Graham
- 18B. Lawal
- 1V. Johansson
Watford
5-3-2- 10M. Boadu
- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 6M. Pollock
- 4K. Keben
- 16M. Bola
- 15K. Diatta
- 23O. Traoré
- 1F. Ravaglia
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Watford have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Lincoln(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stoke City wins, 2 draws, 2 Watford wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Watford 1-2 Stoke City | Championship |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Stoke City 3-1 Watford | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Watford 1-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Stoke City 0-0 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Watford 3-0 Stoke City | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Watford 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Watford vs Stoke City on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Watford | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City sit 4th in Championship (26 points from 14 matches) and Watford sit 20th (14 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 26 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 14 |
A question about Stoke City vs Watford?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs Watford?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stoke City the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Watford.
- Where and when is Stoke City vs Watford played?
- Stoke City vs Watford is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.