Watford vs Blackburn: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 25, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
The Footlab AI model makes Blackburn the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Watford. The most likely score is 1-1. If Blackburn wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Watford vs Blackburn?
Blackburn starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,938 vs 1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Watford vs Blackburn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Watford
4-2-3-1- 9L. Kjerrumgaard
- 5H. Kyprianou
- 39E. Kayembe
- 17Iker Bravo
- 7O. Maamma
- 20M. Doumbia
- 6M. Pollock
- 23O. Traoré
- 4K. Keben
- 33J. Zemura
- 1F. Ravaglia
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 25R. Morishita
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 8Sam Morsy
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 17H. Carter
- 3H. Pickering
- 22B. Tóth
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Blackburn have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Watford wins, 1 draw, 3 Blackburn wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Blackburn 1-1 Watford | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Watford 0-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Blackburn 2-1 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Watford 1-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Blackburn 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Watford 0-1 Blackburn | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Blackburn score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Blackburn | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 22nd in Championship (8 points from 10 matches) and Blackburn sit 9th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Watford vs Blackburn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Watford vs Blackburn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Blackburn the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Watford.
- Where and when is Watford vs Blackburn played?
- Watford vs Blackburn is played on November 25, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Vicarage Road, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.