Chesterfield vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Bristol Rovers?
Chesterfield starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesterfield vs Bristol Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 18L. Marsh
- 8R. Stirk
- 24D. Markanday
- 37J. Koroma
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 19L. Gordon
- 15A. Pond
- 23R. Boot
Bristol Rovers
3-4-1-2- 29F. Cavegn
- 19E. Harrison
- 2T. James
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 3J. Sparkes
- 21R. Smallwood
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 5A. Kilgour
- 1Brad Young
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 11:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 5-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Chesterfield wins, 0 draws, 2 Bristol Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 2-3 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Chesterfield 3-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Bristol Rovers 2-0 Chesterfield | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Bristol Rovers 2-1 Chesterfield | League One |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Chesterfield 3-2 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Chesterfield 3-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesterfield sit 7th in League Two (19 points from 13 matches) and Bristol Rovers sit 15th (16 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 16 |
A question about Chesterfield vs Bristol Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Bristol Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Bristol Rovers.
- Where and when is Chesterfield vs Bristol Rovers played?
- Chesterfield vs Bristol Rovers is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.