Match

Grimsby vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blundell Park, Cleethorpes, North East Lincolnshire

GrimsbySwindon Town

The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Grimsby wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Grimsby vs Swindon Town?

On Elo ratings, Grimsby has 1,824 points and Swindon Town 1,762.

57%24%19%
Grimsby winDrawSwindon Town win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Grimsby vs Swindon Town

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Grimsby

4-1-4-1
  1. 39A. Cook
  1. 4K. Green
  2. 30C. Vernam
  3. 28F. Cartwright
  4. 14J. Amaluzor
  5. 15G. Turi
  1. 3J. Sweeney
  2. 5H. Rodgers
  3. 17C. McJannet
  4. 2M. Kacurri
  1. 31C. Pym

Swindon Town

4-3-3
  1. 23A. Drinan
  2. 29A. Hackford
  3. 7T. Nichols
  1. 27A. Munda
  2. 25J. Thomson
  3. 8O. Clarke
  1. 5S. Negru
  2. 26D. Butler
  3. 6J. Ball
  4. 21K. Majekodunmi
  1. 1C. Ripley

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grimsby have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Swindon Town have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Grimsby
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Port Vale(away)0-1League Two
Oct 6, 2026Burton Albion(home)0-0EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Shrewsbury(home)1-2League Two
Sep 26, 2026Newport County(away)1-2League Two
Sep 22, 2026Notts County(away)1-2EFL Trophy
Swindon Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Crewe(home)0-1League Two
Oct 3, 2026Rochdale(away)0-1League Two
Sep 26, 2026Accrington ST(home)1-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Newport County(home)0-2EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Salford City(away)0-1League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Grimsby wins, 1 draw, 3 Swindon Town wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Grimsby 4-0 Swindon TownLeague Two
Nov 22, 2025Swindon Town 2-2 GrimsbyLeague Two
Apr 18, 2025Grimsby 0-4 Swindon TownLeague Two
Dec 21, 2024Swindon Town 3-1 GrimsbyLeague Two
Apr 20, 2024Grimsby 2-0 Swindon TownLeague Two
Sep 30, 2023Swindon Town 2-1 GrimsbyLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Grimsby vs Swindon Town on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Grimsby score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Grimsby1.31.268/158/15
Swindon Town1.21.518/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Grimsby sit 11th in League Two (13 points from 10 matches) and Swindon Town sit 17th (11 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Grimsby10343131113
17Swindon Town1032591411

A question about Grimsby vs Swindon Town?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Grimsby vs Swindon Town?
The Footlab AI model makes Grimsby the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Swindon Town.
Where and when is Grimsby vs Swindon Town played?
Grimsby vs Swindon Town is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blundell Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Grimsby and Swindon Town

Ready to know everything about football?