Brito vs Vitória de Sernache: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 64Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Parque de Jogos do Brito SC, Brito
The Footlab AI model makes Vitória de Sernache the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Brito. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitória de Sernache wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,505 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Brito (1,859) and Vitória de Sernache (1,903).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brito vs Vitória de Sernache
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brito
Not enough data to predict the Brito lineup.
Vitória de Sernache
4-3-3- 10André Dias
- 20Lucas Daniel
- 7A. Dias
- 19E. Moura
- 6R. Embalo
- 9M. Almeida
- 17T. Marques
- 3Diego Tavares
- 4Matheus Matias
- 2Paulinho
- 1Joao Lucas
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 04:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brito have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Vitória de Sernache have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Chaves II(home) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vila Pouca(away) | 5-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tirsense(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Maria da Fonte(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Montalegre(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Varzim(home) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Nazarenos(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Brito score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vitória de Sernache score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brito | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Vitória de Sernache | 1.2 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brito vs Vitória de Sernache?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitória de Sernache the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Brito.
- Where and when is Brito vs Vitória de Sernache played?
- Brito vs Vitória de Sernache is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Parque de Jogos do Brito SC, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.