BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha BSC II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, Leipzig
The Footlab model makes BSG Chemie Leipzig the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hertha BSC II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha BSC II?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate BSG Chemie Leipzig (1,799) and Hertha BSC II (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BSG Chemie Leipzig have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Hertha BSC II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 BSG Chemie Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hertha BSC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hertha BSC II 0-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 25, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 3-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 4, 2025 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 2-2 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 1-2 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 23, 2024 | BSG Chemie Leipzig 3-0 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Hertha BSC II 3-0 BSG Chemie Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSG Chemie Leipzig | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Hertha BSC II | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nordost (1 points from 6 matches) and Hertha BSC II sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
| 18 | BSG Chemie Leipzig | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha BSC II?
- The Footlab model makes BSG Chemie Leipzig the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Hertha BSC II.
- Where and when is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha BSC II played?
- BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Hertha BSC II is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026FSV ZwickauvsErzgebirge Aue
- Oct 25, 2026Hallescher FCvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Oct 25, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsBFC Dynamo
- Oct 25, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsMagdeburg II
- Oct 25, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsBFC Preussen
- Oct 25, 2026AltglienickevsLuckenwalde
- Oct 25, 2026RSV EintrachtvsTasmania Berlin
- Oct 25, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt