FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld, Jena
The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for BFC Dynamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Carl Zeiss Jena have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 BFC Dynamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Nov 7, 2025 | BFC Dynamo 2-3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Dec 6, 2024 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 26, 2024 | BFC Dynamo 2-3 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 17, 2024 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena 2-3 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 25, 2023 | BFC Dynamo 2-1 FC Carl Zeiss Jena | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| BFC Dynamo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Carl Zeiss Jena sit 6th in Regionalliga - Nordost (9 points from 5 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Carl Zeiss Jena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 | BFC Dynamo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo?
- The Footlab model makes FC Carl Zeiss Jena the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for BFC Dynamo.
- Where and when is FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo played?
- FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs BFC Dynamo is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Abbe-Sportfeld, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026FSV ZwickauvsErzgebirge Aue
- Oct 25, 2026Hallescher FCvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Oct 25, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsMagdeburg II
- Oct 25, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsBFC Preussen
- Oct 25, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsHertha BSC II
- Oct 25, 2026AltglienickevsLuckenwalde
- Oct 25, 2026RSV EintrachtvsTasmania Berlin
- Oct 25, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt