Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 14Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Altglienicke the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde?
Altglienicke starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altglienicke have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Luckenwalde have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 3-3 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Altglienicke win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Luckenwalde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Altglienicke 0-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Luckenwalde 1-3 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 18, 2025 | Luckenwalde 0-0 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Altglienicke 0-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Altglienicke 3-2 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Luckenwalde 1-4 Altglienicke | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Altglienicke score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altglienicke | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Altglienicke sit 3rd in Regionalliga - Nordost (11 points from 5 matches) and Luckenwalde sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Altglienicke | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde?
- The Footlab model makes Altglienicke the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde played?
- Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026FSV ZwickauvsErzgebirge Aue
- Oct 25, 2026Hallescher FCvsLokomotive Leipzig
- Oct 25, 2026FC Carl Zeiss JenavsBFC Dynamo
- Oct 25, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsMagdeburg II
- Oct 25, 2026SV Babelsberg 03vsBFC Preussen
- Oct 25, 2026BSG Chemie LeipzigvsHertha BSC II
- Oct 25, 2026RSV EintrachtvsTasmania Berlin
- Oct 25, 2026Greifswalder FCvsFC Rot-Weiß Erfurt