Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Tire 2021 FK played?

Bucaspor 1928 vs Tire 2021 FK is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bucaspor 1928 vs Tire 2021 FK: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Buca Stadı, İzmir

Bucaspor 1928

Tire 2021 FK

The Footlab model makes Bucaspor 1928 the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Tire 2021 FK. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bucaspor 1928 vs Tire 2021 FK?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Bucaspor 1928 (1,540) and Tire 2021 FK (1,528).

Bucaspor 1928 win43 %

Draw27 %

Tire 2021 FK win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bucaspor 1928 have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Tire 2021 FK have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bucaspor 1928
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 24, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	1-0	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	3-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Altınordu(away)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 3, 2026	Ankaragücü(away)	0-1	2. Lig

Tire 2021 FK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Afjet Afyonspor(away)	1-4	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Söke 1970(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026	Bornova 1877(home)	2-4	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 24, 2026	Eskişehirspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tire 2021 FK score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bucaspor 1928	0.9	2.1	1	9/15	7/15
Tire 2021 FK	1.3	1.7	2	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bucaspor 1928 vs Tire 2021 FK?: The Footlab model makes Bucaspor 1928 the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Tire 2021 FK.
Where and when is Bucaspor 1928 vs Tire 2021 FK played?: Bucaspor 1928 vs Tire 2021 FK is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Buca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.