BUL vs NEC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lugazi FC Stadium, Najjembe
The Footlab AI model makes NEC the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for BUL. The most likely score is 1-1. If NEC wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BUL vs NEC?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate BUL (1,472) and NEC (1,538).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for BUL vs NEC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
BUL
Not enough data to predict the BUL lineup.
NEC
Not enough data to predict the NEC lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BUL have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; NEC have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lugazi(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Blacks Power(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Ntugasaze(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Kataka(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Express(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Kigezi HomeBoyz(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Express(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | URA(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Mbarara City(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Lugazi(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 BUL wins, 4 draws, 2 NEC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | BUL 0-1 NEC | Premier League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | NEC 1-1 BUL | Premier League |
| May 7, 2025 | NEC 1-1 BUL | Premier League |
| Dec 18, 2024 | BUL 1-1 NEC | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2024 | NEC 1-0 BUL | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | BUL 1-1 NEC | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
BUL score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; NEC score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUL | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| NEC | 1.1 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BUL sit 1st in Premier League (13 points from 5 matches) and NEC sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
A question about BUL vs NEC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BUL vs NEC?
- The Footlab AI model makes NEC the favourite at 40%, against 31% for a draw and 29% for BUL.
- Where and when is BUL vs NEC played?
- BUL vs NEC is played on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lugazi FC Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.