Lugazi vs Express: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lugazi FC Stadium, Najjembe
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Lugazi, 37% for a draw, 31% for Express. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugazi vs Express?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Lugazi (1,290) and Express (1,389).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lugazi vs Express
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lugazi
Not enough data to predict the Lugazi lineup.
Express
Not enough data to predict the Express lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugazi have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Express have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Maroons(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | NEC(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | NEC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | SC Villa(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | KCCA(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | BUL(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Lugazi wins, 2 draws, 0 Express wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Express 0-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Lugazi 0-0 Express | Premier League |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Lugazi 1-0 Express | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Express 0-1 Lugazi | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugazi score 0.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Express score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugazi | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Express | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugazi sit 11th in Premier League (7 points from 6 matches) and Express sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lugazi | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Express | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
A question about Lugazi vs Express?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugazi vs Express?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Lugazi, 37% for a draw, 31% for Express.
- Where and when is Lugazi vs Express played?
- Lugazi vs Express is played on October 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lugazi FC Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.