Bulgaria U17 vs Serbia U17: prediction and stats
UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Vasil Levski, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Serbia U17 the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Bulgaria U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bulgaria U17 vs Serbia U17?
Serbia U17 starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,692 vs 1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bulgaria U17 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Serbia U17 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Albania U17(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Albania U17(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Lithuania U17(away) | 3-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Malta U17(home) | 1-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Azerbaijan U17(home) | 1-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Romania U17(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Romania U17(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Switzerland U17(away) | 2-0 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Belgium U17(away) | 3-4 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Cyprus U17(home) | 3-1 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bulgaria U17 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Serbia U17 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | Bulgaria U17 0-2 Serbia U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Serbia U17 0-2 Bulgaria U17 | UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: Bulgaria U17 vs Serbia U17 on Nov 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bulgaria U17 score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Serbia U17 score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria U17 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Serbia U17 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bulgaria U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (7 points from 3 matches) and Serbia U17 sit 2nd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulgaria U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Serbia U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bulgaria U17 vs Serbia U17?
- The Footlab model makes Serbia U17 the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Bulgaria U17.
- Where and when is Bulgaria U17 vs Serbia U17 played?
- Bulgaria U17 vs Serbia U17 is played on November 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vasil Levski, in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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