Bulgaria vs Norway: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 2Kick-off on September 9, 2018 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
Full time
What was the result of Bulgaria vs Norway?
Bulgaria won 1-0 on September 9, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 59′Radoslav VasilevBulgaria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Bulgaria have 7 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Norway have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2018 | Slovenia(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 26, 2018 | Kazakhstan(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2018 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 13, 2017 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 10, 2017 | Luxembourg(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2018 | Cyprus(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2018 | Panama(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Iceland(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2018 | Albania(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2018 | Australia(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Bulgaria score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 14; Norway score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/14 | 8/14 |
| Norway | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy