Finland vs Estonia: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague C - 2Kick-off on September 11, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Helsingin olympiastadion, Helsingfors
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What was the result of Finland vs Estonia?
Finland won 1-0 on September 11, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 12′T. PukkiFinland
Official lineup for Finland vs Estonia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Finland
4-4-2- 20J. Tuominen
- 10T. Pukki
- 7R. Lod
- 11R. Schüller
- 14Tim Sparv
- 13P. Soiri
- 22J. Raitala
- 4J. Toivio
- 2P. Arajuuri
- 3A. Granlund
- 1L. Hrádecký
Estonia
5-4-1- 10S. Zenjov
- 13S. Luts
- 20Artjom Dmitrijev
- 14K. Vassiljev
- 11H. Ojamaa
- 19K. Kallaste
- 15Ragnar Klavan
- 18K. Mets
- 4J. Tamm
- 23T. Teniste
- 1M. Aksalu
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Finland have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Estonia have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2018 | Hungary(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Belarus(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2018 | Romania(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2018 | Malta(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2018 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2018 | Greece(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Morocco(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2018 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Armenia(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 26, 2017 | New Caledonia(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Finland win, 0 draws, 0 Estonia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2017 | Finland 3-0 Estonia | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Finland score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estonia score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Estonia | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Finland sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Estonia sit 2nd (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | EstoniaGroup D | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | FinlandGroup A | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Finland vs Estonia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy