Bulgaria vs Wales: result 0-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague B - 4Kick-off on October 14, 2020 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Vasil Levski, Sofia
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What was the result of Bulgaria vs Wales?
Wales won 0-1 on October 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 85′J. WilliamsWales
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bulgaria have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Wales have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Finland(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 8, 2020 | Hungary(home) | 1-3 | Euro Championship |
| Sep 6, 2020 | Wales(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 3, 2020 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Feb 26, 2020 | Belarus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Rep. Of Ireland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 8, 2020 | England(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 6, 2020 | Bulgaria(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 3, 2020 | Finland(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Hungary(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Bulgaria win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Wales win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2020 | Wales 1-0 Bulgaria | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bulgaria score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wales score 0.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Wales | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy