Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Celta de Vigo II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
On Elo ratings, Burgos has 2,028 points and Celta de Vigo II 1,958.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burgos
5-3-2- 19Javi Llabrés
- 9Álex Forés
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 16Curro Sánchez
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 23Alberto Dadie
- 13Ander Cantero
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-3- 10O. Marcos
- 9A. Marin
- 15A. Kibet
- 16Adrià Capdevila
- 2P. Gavian
- 11Ángel Arcos
- 29M. Sobral
- 3K. Ribes
- 18Joel López
- 6P. Meixus
- 1Coke Carrillo
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Celta de Vigo II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 4-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Girona(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Burgos win, 1 draw, 0 Celta de Vigo II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2021 | Burgos 1-0 Celta de Vigo II | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Celta de Vigo II 1-1 Burgos | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II on May 9, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Burgos score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo II score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Celta de Vigo II | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgos sit 8th in Segunda División (21 points from 12 matches) and Celta de Vigo II sit 16th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 21 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 13 |
A question about Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Celta de Vigo II.
- Where and when is Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II played?
- Burgos vs Celta de Vigo II is played on November 7, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.