Castellón vs Eibar: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Eibar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellón wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Eibar?
On Elo ratings, Castellón has 2,007 points and Eibar 2,021.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellón vs Eibar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellón
3-4-2-1- 9Ousmane Camara
- 8Barri
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 21Álvaro Martín
- 2Juanjo Nieto
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 13R. Matthys
Eibar
4-2-3-1- 9Jon Bautista
- 30Aleix Garrido
- 8Ander Madariaga
- 7Malcom Adu
- 10Jon Guruzeta
- 21Iván Gil
- 23Anaitz Arbilla
- 4Unai Elgezabal
- 24Juan Bernat
- 22Álvaro Rodríguez
- 13Jon Mikel
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Eibar have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Girona(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Castellón wins, 1 draw, 1 Eibar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Castellón 2-1 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Eibar 0-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Castellón 2-0 Eibar | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Eibar 1-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Eibar score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Eibar | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 2nd in Segunda División (20 points from 8 matches) and Eibar sit 1st (21 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Castellón | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
A question about Castellón vs Eibar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Eibar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Eibar.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Eibar played?
- Castellón vs Eibar is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.