Granada CF vs Tenerife: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada
The Footlab model makes Tenerife the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Granada CF vs Tenerife?
Tenerife starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (2,035 vs 1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Granada CF have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Tenerife have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Granada CF win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tenerife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Tenerife 0-1 Granada CF | Copa del Rey |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Tenerife 2-1 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Granada CF 4-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Granada CF 2-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Tenerife 2-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| May 10, 2019 | Granada CF 2-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Tenerife vs Granada CF on Dec 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Granada CF score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada CF | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Tenerife | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Granada CF sit 16th in Segunda División (1 points from 1 matches) and Tenerife sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tenerife | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Granada CF vs Tenerife?
- The Footlab model makes Tenerife the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is Granada CF vs Tenerife played?
- Granada CF vs Tenerife is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.