Girona vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
The Footlab model makes Girona the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Almeria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Girona vs Almeria?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Girona (2,006) and Almeria (2,036).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Girona have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Almeria have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Girona win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Almeria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | Almeria 0-0 Girona | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Girona 5-2 Almeria | La Liga |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Girona 6-2 Almeria | La Liga |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Almeria 3-2 Girona | La Liga |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Almeria 0-1 Girona | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2021 | Girona 1-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Girona score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| Almeria | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Girona sit 17th in Segunda División (1 points from 2 matches) and Almeria sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Almeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Girona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Girona vs Almeria?
- The Footlab model makes Girona the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Almeria.
- Where and when is Girona vs Almeria played?
- Girona vs Almeria is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.