Girona vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Almeria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Girona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Girona vs Almeria?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Girona (2,040) and Almeria (2,075).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Girona vs Almeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Girona
4-4-2- 19V. Vanat
- 9Abel Ruiz
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 23Carles Pérez
- 8Fran Beltrán
- 17Bryan Gil
- 11Álex Moreno
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 5David López
- 4Javier Boñar
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 22D. Chirino
- 2Marcos Luna
- 15Leonardo Lelo
- 1Andrés Fernández
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Girona have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Almeria have 10, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Girona wins, 1 draw, 2 Almeria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | Almeria 0-0 Girona | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Girona 5-2 Almeria | La Liga |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Girona 6-2 Almeria | La Liga |
| Oct 20, 2022 | Almeria 3-2 Girona | La Liga |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Almeria 0-1 Girona | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2021 | Girona 1-2 Almeria | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Girona score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.8 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Almeria | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Girona sit 5th in Segunda División (18 points from 10 matches) and Almeria sit 1st (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Girona | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 18 |
A question about Girona vs Almeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Girona vs Almeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Girona the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Almeria.
- Where and when is Girona vs Almeria played?
- Girona vs Almeria is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.