Match

Cadiz vs Oviedo: prediction and stats

Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, Cádiz

CadizOviedo

The Footlab AI model makes Oviedo the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oviedo wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cadiz vs Oviedo?

Oviedo starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,988 vs 1,855).

33%27%40%
Cadiz winDrawOviedo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cadiz vs Oviedo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
  1. 21V. Kopotun
  1. 24Ibon Sánchez
  2. 16Antonio Cordero
  3. 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
  4. 5M. Doué
  5. 17A. Moueffek
  1. 4Javi Castro
  2. 6Manu Fernández
  3. 3Sergio Arribas
  4. 27J. Diaz Peregrina
  1. 1David Gil

Oviedo

4-4-2
  1. 10Alberto Reina
  2. 18V. Mingo
  1. 5Y. Didi
  2. 8Mikel Goti
  3. 16Aritz Aldasoro
  4. 32Enzo Perez
  1. 12Dani Calvo
  2. 23Carlos Domínguez
  3. 15S. Rodriguez
  4. 21David Jiménez
  1. 13Aarón Escandell

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:55 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cadiz have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Oviedo have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cadiz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Granada CF(away)0-2Segunda División
Oct 11, 2026Sporting Gijon(home)0-1Segunda División
Oct 3, 2026Leganes(home)4-0Segunda División
Sep 26, 2026Tenerife(away)1-1Segunda División
Sep 19, 2026Girona(home)1-2Segunda División
Oviedo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026AD Ceuta FC(away)2-1Segunda División
Oct 12, 2026Eibar(home)3-1Segunda División
Oct 2, 2026Eldense(away)1-4Segunda División
Sep 27, 2026Sporting Gijon(home)2-0Segunda División
Sep 20, 2026Sabadell(away)1-3Segunda División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cadiz wins, 1 draw, 2 Oviedo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 1, 2025Oviedo 2-1 CadizSegunda División
Oct 26, 2024Cadiz 2-0 OviedoSegunda División
Jul 4, 2020Cadiz 2-0 OviedoSegunda División
Dec 15, 2019Oviedo 0-2 CadizSegunda División
Feb 3, 2019Oviedo 2-1 CadizSegunda División
Sep 1, 2018Cadiz 1-1 OviedoSegunda División

Last archived meeting: Oviedo vs Cadiz on Jun 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Cadiz score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oviedo score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cadiz1.11.538/157/15
Oviedo1.41.176/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cadiz sit 20th in Segunda División (7 points from 10 matches) and Oviedo sit 9th (17 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Oviedo10523131017
20Cadiz1014511137

A question about Cadiz vs Oviedo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Oviedo?
The Footlab AI model makes Oviedo the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Cadiz.
Where and when is Cadiz vs Oviedo played?
Cadiz vs Oviedo is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, in the Segunda División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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