Burgos vs Oviedo: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Oviedo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgos vs Oviedo?
On Elo ratings, Burgos has 2,044 points and Oviedo 2,007.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burgos vs Oviedo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burgos
4-4-2- 7Jon Karrikaburu
- 16Curro Sánchez
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 4P. Galdames
- 14David González
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 2Álex
- 13Ander Cantero
Oviedo
4-2-3-1- 18V. Mingo
- 5Y. Didi
- 8Mikel Goti
- 10Alberto Reina
- 16Aritz Aldasoro
- 32Enzo Perez
- 12Dani Calvo
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 04:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Oviedo have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Burgos wins, 1 draw, 3 Oviedo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oviedo 0-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Burgos 1-2 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Oviedo 3-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Oviedo 5-0 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Burgos 1-0 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Oviedo 0-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Burgos score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Oviedo score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Oviedo | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgos sit 6th in Segunda División (20 points from 11 matches) and Oviedo sit 9th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Burgos | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 20 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
A question about Burgos vs Oviedo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Oviedo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Oviedo.
- Where and when is Burgos vs Oviedo played?
- Burgos vs Oviedo is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.