Millwall vs QPR: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Den, London
The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for QPR. The most likely score is 1-1. If Millwall wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,338 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millwall vs QPR?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Millwall (2,017) and QPR (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Millwall vs QPR
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Millwall
4-2-3-1- 13L. Dykes
- 14Jenson Metcalfe
- 10C. Neghli
- 7T. Arconte
- 49D. Mazou-Sacko
- 22K. Lisbie
- 5J. Cooper
- 6C. Taylor
- 3Zak Norton Sturge
- 2J. Osei-Tutu
- 34F. Marschall
QPR
4-3-3- 17K. Poku
- 11P. Smyth
- 16R. Burrell
- 5R. Edwards
- 24N. Madsen
- 18G. Kamara
- 3J. Dunne
- 6J. Clarke-Salter
- 2K. Adamson
- 27A. Mbengue
- 1P. Charles
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; QPR have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | West Ham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Millwall wins, 2 draws, 1 QPR win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | QPR 1-1 Millwall | League Cup |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Millwall 2-0 QPR | Championship |
| Oct 18, 2025 | QPR 1-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Millwall 2-1 QPR | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2024 | QPR 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Jan 20, 2024 | QPR 2-0 Millwall | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; QPR score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| QPR | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 8th in Championship (14 points from 9 matches) and QPR sit 6th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Millwall vs QPR?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millwall vs QPR?
- The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for QPR.
- Where and when is Millwall vs QPR played?
- Millwall vs QPR is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Den, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.