Burnley vs Charlton: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Charlton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burnley wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley vs Charlton?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Burnley (1,949) and Charlton (1,910).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burnley vs Charlton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 3Max Alleyne
- 29J. Laurent
- 8U. Raghouber
- 21A. Ramsey
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 14C. Roberts
- 44Igor
- 22O. Sonne
- 2K. Walker
- 1M. Weiß
Charlton
4-2-3-1- 11M. Leaburn
- 9K. Ahearne-Grant
- 7T. Campbell
- 6C. Coventry
- 34O. Skipp
- 19M. Alli
- 5L. Jones
- 44Tyler Bindon
- 18I. Mesík
- 20D. McNamara
- 13A. Okonkwo
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 0 wins, 8 draws and 7 defeats; Charlton have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 9, 2026 | QPR(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Burnley wins, 0 draws, 1 Charlton win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2016 | Charlton 0-3 Burnley | Championship |
| Dec 19, 2015 | Burnley 4-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Charlton 0-3 Burnley | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Burnley 3-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2013 | Charlton 0-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Burnley 0-1 Charlton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Charlton score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 8/15 |
| Charlton | 1.0 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 24th in Championship (4 points from 8 matches) and Charlton sit 9th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 4 |
A question about Burnley vs Charlton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley vs Charlton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Charlton.
- Where and when is Burnley vs Charlton played?
- Burnley vs Charlton is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Turf Moor, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.