Millwall vs Swansea: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Den, London
The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Swansea. The most likely score is 1-1. If Millwall wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Millwall vs Swansea?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Millwall (2,016) and Swansea (2,009).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Millwall vs Swansea
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Millwall
4-2-3-1- 7T. Arconte
- 14Jenson Metcalfe
- 10C. Neghli
- 13L. Dykes
- 49D. Mazou-Sacko
- 17M. Sykes
- 5J. Cooper
- 6C. Taylor
- 3Zak Norton Sturge
- 2J. Osei-Tutu
- 15M. Crocombe
Swansea
4-3-3- 49M. Yeo
- 33A. Idah
- 7M. Widell
- 6M. Stamenić
- 8E. Just
- 46S. Eustáquio
- 14J. Tymon
- 23S. Welsh
- 26F. Lissah
- 5B. Cabango
- 22L. Vigouroux
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Millwall have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Swansea have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Newcastle(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lincoln(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Burnley(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Watford(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Millwall wins, 1 draw, 1 Swansea win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Millwall 2-1 Swansea | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Swansea 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Millwall 1-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Swansea 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| May 4, 2024 | Swansea 0-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Millwall 0-3 Swansea | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Millwall score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swansea score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Swansea | 1.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Millwall sit 11th in Championship (11 points from 8 matches) and Swansea sit 1st (17 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 17 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Millwall vs Swansea?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Millwall vs Swansea?
- The Footlab AI model makes Millwall the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Swansea.
- Where and when is Millwall vs Swansea played?
- Millwall vs Swansea is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Den, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.