Burnley vs Watford: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 21, 2024 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
Full time
What was the result of Burnley vs Watford?
Burnley won 2-1 on December 21, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 9′J. AnthonyBurnley
- 62′J. BrownhillBurnley
- 80′K. BaahWatford
Official lineup for Burnley vs Watford
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 19Z. Flemming
- 28H. Mejbri
- 8J. Brownhill
- 11J. Anthony
- 29J. Laurent
- 24J. Cullen
- 12B. Humphreys
- 5M. Estève
- 6C. Egan-Riley
- 14C. Roberts
- 1J. Trafford
Watford
4-1-4-1- 19V. Bayo
- 11R. Vata
- 8G. Chakvetadze
- 17M. Sissoko
- 34K. Baah
- 14P. Dwomoh
- 37Y. Larouci
- 6M. Pollock
- 5R. Porteous
- 2J. Ngakia
- 1D. Bachmann
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeat; Watford have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | Norwich(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Derby(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Stoke City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Coventry(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | West Brom(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Hull City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | QPR(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Bristol City(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Plymouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burnley wins, 2 draws, 1 Watford win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | Burnley 1-1 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Watford 1-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Watford 1-2 Burnley | Premier League |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Burnley 0-0 Watford | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2020 | Burnley 1-0 Watford | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Watford 0-3 Burnley | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 0.9 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 0.9 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 1/15 |
| Watford | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 22nd in Championship (8 points from 11 matches) and Watford sit 20th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Burnley vs Watford?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy