Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Etimesgut SK: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Minareli Çavuş Spor Tesisleri, Bursa
The Footlab model makes Bursa Yıldırımspor the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Etimesgut SK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Etimesgut SK?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Bursa Yıldırımspor (1,566) and Etimesgut SK (1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bursa Yıldırımspor have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Etimesgut SK have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Galata(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kartal Bulvarspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bursa Yıldırımspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Etimesgut SK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor 1-1 Etimesgut SK | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Etimesgut SK 0-0 Bursa Yıldırımspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Etimesgut SK on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bursa Yıldırımspor score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Etimesgut SK score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa Yıldırımspor | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Etimesgut SK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Etimesgut SK?
- The Footlab model makes Bursa Yıldırımspor the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Etimesgut SK.
- Where and when is Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Etimesgut SK played?
- Bursa Yıldırımspor vs Etimesgut SK is played on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Minareli Çavuş Spor Tesisleri, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.