Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye played?

Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye is played on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir

Karsiyaka

Nilüfer Belediye

The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Nilüfer Belediye. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?

Karsiyaka starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,546).

Karsiyaka win60 %

Draw24 %

Nilüfer Belediye win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karsiyaka have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Nilüfer Belediye have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Karsiyaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Ayvalikgucu(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Tire 2021 FK(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Söke 1970(home)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Bornova 1877(away)	5-0	3. Lig - Group 4

Nilüfer Belediye
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Kestel Çilek(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Silivrispor(away)	2-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Kartal Bulvarspor(home)	2-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)	0-3	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026	Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)	3-2	3. Lig - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Karsiyaka score 2.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nilüfer Belediye score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Karsiyaka	2.7	0.7	7	7/15	9/15
Nilüfer Belediye	1.5	1.4	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?: The Footlab model makes Karsiyaka the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Nilüfer Belediye.
Where and when is Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye played?: Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye is played on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.