Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Uşak Spor played?

Ayvalikgucu vs Uşak Spor is played on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ayvalikgucu vs Uşak Spor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, Ayvalık

Ayvalikgucu

Uşak Spor

The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Uşak Spor. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ayvalikgucu vs Uşak Spor?

Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,506).

Ayvalikgucu win64 %

Draw23 %

Uşak Spor win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayvalikgucu have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Uşak Spor have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ayvalikgucu
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 8, 2026	Eskişehirspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
May 4, 2026	Eskişehirspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 28, 2026	Karsiyaka(away)	2-0	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Karsiyaka(home)	0-0	3. Lig - Play-offs

Uşak Spor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	İzmir Çoruhlu FK(away)	1-3	3. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026	Alanya 1221 FK(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026	Balıkesirspor(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026	Kütahyaspor(away)	1-1	3. Lig - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ayvalikgucu win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Uşak Spor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2026	Uşak Spor 0-2 Ayvalikgucu	3. Lig - Group 4
Sep 21, 2025	Ayvalikgucu 0-2 Uşak Spor	3. Lig - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Uşak Spor vs Ayvalikgucu on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Uşak Spor score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ayvalikgucu	1.4	0.8	6	5/15	5/15
Uşak Spor	0.9	1.2	6	4/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ayvalikgucu vs Uşak Spor?: The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Uşak Spor.
Where and when is Ayvalikgucu vs Uşak Spor played?: Ayvalikgucu vs Uşak Spor is played on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hüsnü Uğural Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.