Match

Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, Antalya

KepezsporBalıkesirspor

The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Kepezspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor?

Balıkesirspor starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,664 vs 1,535).

Kepezspor win30 %
Draw28 %
Balıkesirspor win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kepezspor have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Balıkesirspor have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kepezspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Batman Petrolspor(away)0-62. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Altınordu(home)2-42. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)0-12. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Ankaragücü(home)2-32. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Elazığspor(away)1-32. Lig
Balıkesirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Eskişehirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)2-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Bornova 1877(away)4-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Denizli İYG(away)1-03. Lig - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Kepezspor score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kepezspor1.02.1310/159/15
Balıkesirspor1.90.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor?
The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Kepezspor.
Where and when is Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor played?
Kepezspor vs Balıkesirspor is played on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hasan Doğan Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kepezspor and Balıkesirspor

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