Match

Bigaspor vs Altay: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, Biga

BigasporAltay

The Footlab model makes Bigaspor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Altay. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bigaspor vs Altay?

A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Bigaspor (1,547) and Altay (1,485).

Bigaspor win48 %
Draw27 %
Altay win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Bigaspor have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Altay have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bigaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Etimesgut SK(away)0-1Türkiye Kupası
Oct 12, 2023Karsiyaka(away)1-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023Bilecik 1969 Spor(home)0-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023Sökespor(away)0-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 29, 2022Menemen FK(away)2-3Türkiye Kupası
Altay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Afjet Afyonspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026İzmir Çoruhlu FK(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(away)0-33. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(home)0-03. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026Balıkesirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Bigaspor score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 9; Altay score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bigaspor0.71.153/93/9
Altay0.81.746/158/15

Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bigaspor vs Altay?
The Footlab model makes Bigaspor the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Altay.
Where and when is Bigaspor vs Altay played?
Bigaspor vs Altay is played on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bigaspor and Altay

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