Where and when is Bury vs United of Manchester played?

Bury vs United of Manchester is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Bury vs United of Manchester: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire

Bury

United of Manchester

The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for United of Manchester. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bury vs United of Manchester?

Bury starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,779).

Bury win55 %

Draw25 %

United of Manchester win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; United of Manchester have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bury
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Lancaster City(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(away)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Guiseley AFC(away)	2-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Rylands(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Curzon Ashton(home)	3-2	Non League Premier - Northern

United of Manchester
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Bamber Bridge(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Workington(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Hyde United(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(home)	0-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Leek Town(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Bury score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; United of Manchester score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Bury	1.9	0.8	6	7/15	8/15
United of Manchester	1.0	1.9	2	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bury sit 8th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 6 matches) and United of Manchester sit 22nd (2 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Bury	6	3	1	2	7	6	10
22	United of Manchester	6	0	2	4	3	11	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bury vs United of Manchester?: The Footlab model makes Bury the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for United of Manchester.
Where and when is Bury vs United of Manchester played?: Bury vs United of Manchester is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Gigg Lane, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.