Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sir Tom Finney Stadium, Preston, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Bamber Bridge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster City?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Bamber Bridge (1,659) and Lancaster City (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bamber Bridge have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Lancaster City have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leek Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Avro(home) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quorn(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bamber Bridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lancaster City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Bamber Bridge 1-1 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Lancaster City 1-3 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Lancaster City 1-4 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Bamber Bridge 2-3 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Lancaster City 3-2 Bamber Bridge | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Bamber Bridge 2-1 Lancaster City | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster City on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bamber Bridge score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bamber Bridge | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bamber Bridge sit 19th in Non League Premier - Northern (5 points from 6 matches) and Lancaster City sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lancaster City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Bamber Bridge | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster City?
- The Footlab model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Bamber Bridge.
- Where and when is Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster City played?
- Bamber Bridge vs Lancaster City is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sir Tom Finney Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 29, 2027Guiseley AFCvsGainsborough Trinity
- Mar 29, 2027Alfreton TownvsIlkeston Town
- Mar 29, 2027WorkingtonvsStockton Town
- Mar 29, 2027Cleethorpes TownvsAFC Emley
- Mar 29, 2027Ashton UnitedvsHyde United
- Mar 29, 2027Warrington TownvsRylands
- Mar 29, 2027AvrovsCurzon Ashton