Guiseley AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Guiseley AFC (1,768) and Gainsborough Trinity (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bury(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alfreton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guiseley AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gainsborough Trinity win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 3-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Guiseley AFC 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 Guiseley AFC | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guiseley AFC sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 6 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guiseley AFC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Gainsborough Trinity | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gainsborough Trinity.
- Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
- Guiseley AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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