Match

Guiseley AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire

Guiseley AFCGainsborough Trinity

The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Guiseley AFC (1,768) and Gainsborough Trinity (1,796).

Guiseley AFC win41 %
Draw26 %
Gainsborough Trinity win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guiseley AFC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Stockton Town(home)3-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Curzon Ashton(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Bury(home)3-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Workington(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Whitby Town(away)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Gainsborough Trinity
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Quorn(away)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Bury(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Stockton Town(home)4-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026United of Manchester(away)3-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Alfreton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guiseley AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gainsborough Trinity win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Gainsborough Trinity 2-1 Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern
Dec 26, 2025Guiseley AFC 3-2 Gainsborough TrinityNon League Premier - Northern
Apr 21, 2025Guiseley AFC 0-2 Gainsborough TrinityNon League Premier - Northern
Dec 26, 2024Gainsborough Trinity 0-2 Guiseley AFCNon League Premier - Northern
Jan 6, 2024Guiseley AFC 0-1 Gainsborough TrinityNon League Premier - Northern
Oct 7, 2023Gainsborough Trinity 1-3 Guiseley AFCFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Guiseley AFC on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guiseley AFC1.81.5312/1510/15
Gainsborough Trinity1.31.538/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Guiseley AFC sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Northern (13 points from 6 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Guiseley AFC641113713
7Gainsborough Trinity631212610

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity?
The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Gainsborough Trinity.
Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
Guiseley AFC vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Guiseley AFC and Gainsborough Trinity

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