Match

Workington vs Stockton Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 39Kick-off on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria

WorkingtonStockton Town

The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Stockton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Workington vs Stockton Town?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Workington (1,693) and Stockton Town (1,782).

Workington win42 %
Draw28 %
Stockton Town win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Stockton Town have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Workington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Rylands(home)3-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026United of Manchester(away)2-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026Avro(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Guiseley AFC(home)2-2Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Redcar Athletic(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern
Stockton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Guiseley AFC(away)0-3Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026Alfreton Town(home)2-0Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026Gainsborough Trinity(away)1-4Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026Leek Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026Ashton United(home)0-1Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Workington win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Stockton Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 20, 2025Workington 0-1 Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern
Aug 12, 2025Stockton Town 6-0 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern
Feb 1, 2025Workington 1-3 Stockton TownNon League Premier - Northern
Oct 23, 2024Stockton Town 5-0 WorkingtonNon League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Workington vs Stockton Town on Dec 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Workington score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Workington1.31.537/158/15
Stockton Town0.91.627/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Workington sit 12th in Non League Premier - Northern (7 points from 6 matches) and Stockton Town sit 20th (4 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Workington62138127
20Stockton Town61144104

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Workington vs Stockton Town?
The Footlab model makes Workington the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Stockton Town.
Where and when is Workington vs Stockton Town played?
Workington vs Stockton Town is played on March 29, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Workington and Stockton Town

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