Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Busan Asiad Auxiliary Stadium, Busan
The Footlab model makes Busan Transportation the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Yeoju Sejong. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?
Busan Transportation starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Busan Transportation have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Yeoju Sejong have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Changwon City(home) | 4-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 4-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(away) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(away) | 2-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gangneung City(away) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen(away) | 0-1 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Busan Transportation win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Yeoju Sejong win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong 1-1 Busan Transportation | K3 League |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Yeoju Sejong 1-3 Busan Transportation | K3 League |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Busan Transportation 1-1 Yeoju Sejong | K3 League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Yeoju Sejong 0-1 Busan Transportation | K3 League |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Busan Transportation 0-1 Yeoju Sejong | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Yeoju Sejong vs Busan Transportation on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Busan Transportation score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Yeoju Sejong score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan Transportation | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Yeoju Sejong | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Busan Transportation sit 3rd in K3 League (36 points from 19 matches) and Yeoju Sejong sit 7th (25 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Busan Transportation | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 36 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 26 |
| 6 | Yeoju Sejong | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 7 | Yeoju Sejong | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong?
- The Footlab model makes Busan Transportation the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Yeoju Sejong.
- Where and when is Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong played?
- Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Busan Asiad Auxiliary Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.