Gangneung City vs Siheung Citizen: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Gangneung Stadium, Gangneung
The Footlab model makes Siheung Citizen the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Gangneung City. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gangneung City vs Siheung Citizen?
Siheung Citizen starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,577).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gangneung City have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Siheung Citizen have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chuncheon(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Paju Citizen(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Mokpo City(away) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(home) | 2-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Asan Mugunghwa(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP(away) | 0-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Busan Transportation(home) | 0-2 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gangneung City win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Siheung Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Siheung Citizen 1-1 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Siheung Citizen 0-1 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Gangneung City 2-2 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Gangneung City 2-1 Siheung Citizen | K3 League |
| May 11, 2024 | Siheung Citizen 0-2 Gangneung City | K3 League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Siheung Citizen 1-0 Gangneung City | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Siheung Citizen vs Gangneung City on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gangneung City score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Siheung Citizen score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangneung City | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Siheung Citizen | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gangneung City sit 9th in K3 League (23 points from 19 matches) and Siheung Citizen sit 1st (43 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Gangneung City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 19 |
| 9 | Gangneung City | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gangneung City vs Siheung Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Siheung Citizen the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Gangneung City.
- Where and when is Gangneung City vs Siheung Citizen played?
- Gangneung City vs Siheung Citizen is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Gangneung Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.