Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Daejeon World Cup Secondary Stadium, Daejeon
The Footlab model makes Daejeon Korail the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Dangjin Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen?
Daejeon Korail starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Daejeon Korail have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dangjin Citizen have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(away) | 0-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pocheon(away) | 1-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP(home) | 0-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Pocheon(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mokpo City(home) | 6-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors II(home) | 2-0 | K3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Daejeon Korail win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dangjin Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen 0-1 Daejeon Korail | K3 League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Daejeon Korail 3-1 Dangjin Citizen | FA Cup |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Dangjin Citizen 0-1 Daejeon Korail | K3 League |
| Jun 3, 2022 | Daejeon Korail 3-1 Dangjin Citizen | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Dangjin Citizen vs Daejeon Korail on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Daejeon Korail score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dangjin Citizen score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Korail | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
| Dangjin Citizen | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Daejeon Korail sit 4th in K3 League (32 points from 19 matches) and Dangjin Citizen sit 5th (28 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Daejeon Korail | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Daejeon Korail | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 32 |
| 5 | Dangjin Citizen | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 29 | 28 |
| 8 | Dangjin Citizen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Daejeon Korail the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Dangjin Citizen.
- Where and when is Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen played?
- Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Daejeon World Cup Secondary Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.