Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Yangpyeong Sports Complex, Yangpyeong
The Footlab model makes Yangpyeong the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Ulsan Citizen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Yangpyeong (1,589) and Ulsan Citizen (1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yangpyeong have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ulsan Citizen have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP(home) | 3-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Busan Transportation(home) | 2-4 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Hwaseong(away) | 3-4 | FA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors II(home) | 5-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Ulsan FC(away) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jeonbuk Motors II(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gwangju FC(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Ulsan Hyundai FC(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chuncheon(away) | 1-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Yangpyeong win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ulsan Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Ulsan Citizen 0-0 Yangpyeong | K3 League |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Yangpyeong | K3 League |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Yangpyeong 2-0 Ulsan Citizen | K3 League |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Ulsan Citizen 3-2 Yangpyeong | K3 League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Yangpyeong 0-2 Ulsan Citizen | K3 League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Ulsan Citizen 0-0 Yangpyeong | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yangpyeong score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ulsan Citizen score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yangpyeong | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ulsan Citizen | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yangpyeong sit 12th in K3 League (17 points from 19 matches) and Ulsan Citizen sit 10th (22 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ulsan Citizen | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 22 |
| 11 | Ulsan Citizen | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 13 |
| 12 | Yangpyeong | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 17 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Yangpyeong the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Ulsan Citizen.
- Where and when is Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen played?
- Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Yangpyeong Sports Complex, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.