Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City: prediction and stats
K3 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Gyeongju Citizen Stadium, Gyeongju
The Footlab model makes Gyeongju HNP the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Mokpo City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City?
Gyeongju HNP starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,506).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gyeongju HNP have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Mokpo City have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Yangpyeong(away) | 3-3 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(home) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Cheongju(away) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Daejeon Korail(away) | 1-0 | K3 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pocheon(away) | 0-2 | K3 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dangjin Citizen(away) | 1-6 | K3 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Cheonan City(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Gangneung City(home) | 2-1 | K3 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Anseong(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gyeongju HNP win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mokpo City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Mokpo City 0-1 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Gyeongju HNP 2-0 Mokpo City | K3 League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Mokpo City 0-1 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Mokpo City 4-0 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Gyeongju HNP 2-0 Mokpo City | K3 League |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Mokpo City 1-1 Gyeongju HNP | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Mokpo City vs Gyeongju HNP on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gyeongju HNP score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mokpo City score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyeongju HNP | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Mokpo City | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gyeongju HNP sit 8th in K3 League (23 points from 19 matches) and Mokpo City sit 13th (15 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gyeongju HNP | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 23 |
| 10 | Gyeongju HNP | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 15 |
| 12 | Mokpo City | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 12 |
| 13 | Mokpo City | 19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City?
- The Footlab model makes Gyeongju HNP the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Mokpo City.
- Where and when is Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City played?
- Gyeongju HNP vs Mokpo City is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Gyeongju Citizen Stadium, in the K3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.