Buxton vs Marine: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1. If Buxton wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs Marine?
On Elo ratings, Buxton has 1,936 points and Marine 1,899.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxton vs Marine
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Marine
Not enough data to predict the Marine lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Marine have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Buxton wins, 0 draws, 2 Marine wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Buxton 4-0 Marine | National League - North |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Marine 2-3 Buxton | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Marine 2-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Marine 1-4 Buxton | National League - North |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Buxton 1-2 Marine | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 10th in National League - North (16 points from 11 matches) and Marine sit 13th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| 13 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Buxton vs Marine?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Marine?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Marine.
- Where and when is Buxton vs Marine played?
- Buxton vs Marine is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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