Buxton vs Marine: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs Marine?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Buxton (1,883) and Marine (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Marine have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Buxton win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Marine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Buxton 4-0 Marine | National League - North |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Marine 2-3 Buxton | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Marine 2-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Marine 1-4 Buxton | National League - North |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Buxton 1-2 Marine | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 14th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Marine sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | Marine | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Marine?
- The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Marine.
- Where and when is Buxton vs Marine played?
- Buxton vs Marine is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026MorecambevsScarborough Athletic
- Oct 31, 2026ChestervsHednesford Town
- Oct 31, 2026SouthportvsAFC Telford United
- Oct 31, 2026Oxford CityvsSouth Shields
- Oct 31, 2026HerefordvsKing's Lynn Town
- Oct 31, 2026Spennymoor TownvsChorley
- Oct 31, 2026Worksop TownvsBrackley Town
- Oct 31, 2026Bedford TownvsMacclesfield