Bzenec vs Třinec: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Fotbalový Stadión Bzenec, Bzenec
The Footlab model makes Třinec the favourite at 84%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Bzenec. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bzenec vs Třinec?
Třinec is a heavy favourite: 1,945 Elo points against 1,644 — a 301-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bzenec have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Třinec have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nové Sady(away) | 4-2 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(home) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hodonín(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 1-5 | 4. liga - Divizie E |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Břeclav(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Opava(away) | 2-2 | FNL |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slavia Praha II(away) | 2-3 | FNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 0-0 | FNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Bzenec score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Třinec score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bzenec | 1.9 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Třinec | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bzenec vs Třinec?
- The Footlab model makes Třinec the favourite at 84%, against 10% for a draw and 5% for Bzenec.
- Where and when is Bzenec vs Třinec played?
- Bzenec vs Třinec is played on August 26, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Fotbalový Stadión Bzenec, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.