CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade du 15 Octobre, Banzart
The Footlab model makes CA Bizertin the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for ES Hammam-Sousse. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate CA Bizertin (1,739) and ES Hammam-Sousse (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CA Bizertin have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; ES Hammam-Sousse have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | ES Sahel(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Sfax Railways(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CA Bizertin win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 ES Hammam-Sousse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2023 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-0 CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 26, 2023 | CA Bizertin 2-2 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | ES Hammam-Sousse 0-1 CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | CA Bizertin 2-2 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | ES Hammam-Sousse 1-0 CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 23, 2021 | CA Bizertin 0-0 ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: ES Hammam-Sousse vs CA Bizertin on May 27, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
CA Bizertin score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; ES Hammam-Sousse score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Bizertin | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CA Bizertin sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and ES Hammam-Sousse sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CA Bizertin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse?
- The Footlab model makes CA Bizertin the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 25% for ES Hammam-Sousse.
- Where and when is CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse played?
- CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade du 15 Octobre, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.