ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Hédi-Enneifer, Le Bardo
The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for US Monastirienne. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,047 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne?
ES Tunis starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,986 vs 1,835).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Tunis
4-3-3- 7I. Faraj
- 27H. Mastouri
- 11Y. Belaïli
- 8H. Rafia
- 16J. Castillo
- 21A. Konaté
- 25R. Chikhaoui
- 12N. Laifi
- 13M. Dräger
- 6H. Jelassi
- 32B. Ben Saïd
US Monastirienne
4-2-3-1- 15Bechir Yacoub
- 20S. Barhoumi
- 23C. El Djebali
- 30M. Slama
- 8M. Mehri
- 6O. Diane
- 2M. Ghorbel
- 13R. Azzouz
- 3Y. Herch
- 21R. Bouchniba
- 24A. Slimane
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 01:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Tunis have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; US Monastirienne have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asswehly(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(home) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 ES Tunis wins, 3 draws, 1 US Monastirienne win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | US Monastirienne 2-1 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | ES Tunis 1-1 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| May 15, 2025 | ES Tunis 0-0 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | US Monastirienne 0-2 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 15, 2024 | ES Tunis 2-0 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | US Monastirienne 1-1 ES Tunis | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: US Monastirienne vs ES Tunis on Jan 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Tunis score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; US Monastirienne score 0.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Tunis | 1.4 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| US Monastirienne | 0.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Tunis sit 2nd in Ligue 1 (12 points from 5 matches) and US Monastirienne sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ES Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
A question about ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne?
- The Footlab AI model makes ES Tunis the favourite at 66%, against 23% for a draw and 11% for US Monastirienne.
- Where and when is ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne played?
- ES Tunis vs US Monastirienne is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Hédi-Enneifer, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.