ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse (Sūsah)
The Footlab model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for ES Sahel. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?
CS Sfaxien starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,957 vs 1,823).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Sahel have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; CS Sfaxien have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San-Pédro(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | ES Sahel(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ES Sahel win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 CS Sfaxien win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | CS Sfaxien 3-1 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | ES Sahel 0-1 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| May 15, 2025 | ES Sahel 0-1 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CS Sfaxien 0-1 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 15, 2024 | ES Sahel 1-2 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | CS Sfaxien 0-0 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Sahel score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CS Sfaxien score 1.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Sahel | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| CS Sfaxien | 1.5 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Sahel sit 12th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and CS Sfaxien sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CS Sfaxien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | ES Sahel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?
- The Footlab model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 40%, against 35% for a draw and 25% for ES Sahel.
- Where and when is ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien played?
- ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Olympique de Sousse, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.