ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse (Sūsah)
The Footlab AI model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for ES Sahel. The most likely score is 0-0. If CS Sfaxien wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?
CS Sfaxien starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,887 vs 1,751).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ES Sahel
4-3-3- 7A. Ben Dhiaf
- 9M. Chaabani
- 29M. Senghor
- 25Ousmane Diakhate
- 30Rayane Anane
- 8O. Abid
- 2W. Kechrida
- 15B. Diarra
- 5K. Lanquetin
- 14N. Ferjani
- 16S. Ben Hsan
CS Sfaxien
4-2-1-3- 11I. Belwafi
- 18E. Ogbole
- 9J. Loulendo
- 14J. Mbé
- 19L. Trayi
- 33M. Trabelsi
- 10A. Maâloul
- 24H. Mathlouthi
- 13R. Derbali
- 15K. Mundeko
- 30A. Dahmen
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Sahel have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; CS Sfaxien have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AS Marsa(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFAD(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CA Bizertin(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Shooting Stars(home) | 2-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ES Sahel win, 1 draw, 4 CS Sfaxien wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | CS Sfaxien 3-1 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 23, 2025 | ES Sahel 0-1 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| May 15, 2025 | ES Sahel 0-1 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CS Sfaxien 0-1 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 15, 2024 | ES Sahel 1-2 CS Sfaxien | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | CS Sfaxien 0-0 ES Sahel | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: CS Sfaxien vs ES Sahel on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Sahel score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; CS Sfaxien score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Sahel | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| CS Sfaxien | 1.3 | 0.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Sahel sit 12th in Ligue 1 (4 points from 5 matches) and CS Sfaxien sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CS Sfaxien | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | ES Sahel | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
A question about ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien?
- The Footlab AI model makes CS Sfaxien the favourite at 42%, against 34% for a draw and 24% for ES Sahel.
- Where and when is ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien played?
- ES Sahel vs CS Sfaxien is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Olympique de Sousse, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.