ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 8Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stade Municipale Bou Ali-Lahouar, Hammam-Sousse
The Footlab model makes Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for ES Hammam-Sousse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate ES Hammam-Sousse (1,732) and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ES Hammam-Sousse have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(home) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| May 11, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | Sfax Railways(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Kerkennah(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(away) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 21, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| May 12, 2026 | Redeyef(home) | 5-0 | Ligue 2 |
| May 2, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 ES Hammam-Sousse win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse 2-3 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer on May 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ES Hammam-Sousse score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer score 2.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 2.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ES Hammam-Sousse sit 7th in Ligue 1 (1 points from 1 matches) and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?
- The Footlab model makes Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for ES Hammam-Sousse.
- Where and when is ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer played?
- ES Hammam-Sousse vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipale Bou Ali-Lahouar, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.