US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 7Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Ben Guerdane, Ben Gardane
The Footlab AI model makes US Ben Guerdane the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Stade Tunisien. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,695 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
On Elo ratings, US Ben Guerdane has 1,746 points and Stade Tunisien 1,854.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
US Ben Guerdane
4-3-3- 7A. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche
- 33N. Chachia
- 17A. Amri
- 10Ghazi Ayadi
- 8M. Camara
- 21G. Mounguide
- 30D. Oboh
- 25S. Harabi
- 14M. Yeken
- 5T. El Islem
- 31L. Hammami
Stade Tunisien
4-2-3-1- 7W. Ouerghemmi
- 34Mame Thioune
- 6P. Diop
- 21Yusuf Touré
- 14Salifou Tapsoba
- 12Y. Oumarou
- 3A. Saihi
- 24R. Derbali
- 25S. Sghaier
- 19Fedi Abdi
- 22N. Farhati
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Ben Guerdane have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Stade Tunisien have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CS Hammam-Lif(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | US Monastirienne(away) | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(away) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | US Monastirienne(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 13, 2026 | AS Gabes(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 US Ben Guerdane wins, 2 draws, 2 Stade Tunisien wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Stade Tunisien 0-0 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | US Ben Guerdane 1-0 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Stade Tunisien 1-0 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | US Ben Guerdane 0-0 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Stade Tunisien 2-1 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | US Ben Guerdane 2-1 Stade Tunisien | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Tunisien vs US Ben Guerdane on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Ben Guerdane score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Tunisien score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Ben Guerdane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Stade Tunisien | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
US Ben Guerdane sit 1st in Ligue 1 (14 points from 6 matches) and Stade Tunisien sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 9 | Stade Tunisien | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
A question about US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien?
- The Footlab AI model makes US Ben Guerdane the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Stade Tunisien.
- Where and when is US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien played?
- US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Ben Guerdane, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.