CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade du 15 Octobre, Banzart
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 31% for CA Bizertin, 41% for a draw, 28% for US Monastirienne. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne?
US Monastirienne starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,880 vs 1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CA Bizertin have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; US Monastirienne have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | ES Zarzis(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | ES Sahel(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ES Hammam-Sousse(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | AS Soliman(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | JS Kairouanaise(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AS Gabes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 CA Bizertin win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 US Monastirienne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | CA Bizertin 0-0 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 24, 2025 | US Monastirienne 1-0 CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | US Monastirienne 3-1 CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | CA Bizertin 0-0 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2023 | US Monastirienne 1-0 CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 27, 2023 | CA Bizertin 0-2 US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CA Bizertin score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; US Monastirienne score 0.7 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 15% probability of over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Bizertin | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| US Monastirienne | 0.7 | 0.4 | 10 | 0/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CA Bizertin sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and US Monastirienne sit 5th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CA Bizertin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | US Monastirienne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 31% for CA Bizertin, 41% for a draw, 28% for US Monastirienne.
- Where and when is CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne played?
- CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade du 15 Octobre, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 15% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.