Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Complexe sportif Taieb ben Ammar El Omrane, Tunis
The Footlab model makes Jeunesse Sportive Omrane the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 26% for AS Marsa. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Jeunesse Sportive Omrane (1,746) and AS Marsa (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; AS Marsa have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 24, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| May 21, 2026 | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| May 12, 2026 | AS Marsa(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Olympique Béja(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 12, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | CS Sfaxien(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2026 | CA Bizertin(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | ES Zarzis(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AS Marsa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2-2 AS Marsa | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | AS Marsa 2-1 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AS Marsa score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| AS Marsa | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane sit 16th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 matches) and AS Marsa sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | AS Marsa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa?
- The Footlab model makes Jeunesse Sportive Omrane the favourite at 41%, against 33% for a draw and 26% for AS Marsa.
- Where and when is Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa played?
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Complexe sportif Taieb ben Ammar El Omrane, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.