US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Ben Guerdane, Ben Gardane
The Footlab model makes Club Africain the favourite at 42%, against 39% for a draw and 19% for US Ben Guerdane. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain?
Club Africain starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, US Ben Guerdane have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Club Africain have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | ES Tunis(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | AS Soliman(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | JS Kairouanaise(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | US Monastirienne(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ES Metlaoui(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 14, 2026 | Olympique Béja(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | ES Tunis(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Stade Tunisien(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | AS Soliman(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 US Ben Guerdane win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Club Africain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | US Ben Guerdane 0-1 Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Club Africain 2-0 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Club Africain 0-0 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | US Ben Guerdane 2-2 Club Africain | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | US Ben Guerdane 1-1 Club Africain | Cup |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Club Africain 2-0 US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
US Ben Guerdane score 0.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Club Africain score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 16% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Ben Guerdane | 0.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
| Club Africain | 1.7 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Africain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain?
- The Footlab model makes Club Africain the favourite at 42%, against 39% for a draw and 19% for US Ben Guerdane.
- Where and when is US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain played?
- US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Ben Guerdane, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 16% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.